Credible sources looking at targeted precincts statewide — including DeSoto County and some metro Jackson precincts — are reflected low voter turnout in both Republican and Democratic precincts.
But these early numbers suggest that the targeted Republican precincts being monitored turned out in higher percentages than did the targeted Democratic precincts.
What does that mean?
It would suggest two scenarios:
A)The GOP got their targeted vote out and the Democrats didn’t; or
B)The GOP didn’t get their targeted vote out and the Dems didn’t either.
But the lack of an obvious groundswell in key Democratic counties to counter lower than expected turnout in major Republican strongholds like DeSoto County suggests that the campaign polling numbers prior to the election will probably hold up - giving Barbour and Bryant the nod but making the down ticket races perhaps more competitive.
The two guys a low GOP turnout would seem worst for is Ag Commissioner Lester Spell and Republican Insurance Commissioner nominee Mike Chaney.
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